tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8302734.post114263165722923432..comments2023-09-09T18:59:10.173+08:00Comments on big mango: Hush and ThunderclapCocoyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03079637494529705906noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8302734.post-1143217838677836392006-03-25T00:30:00.000+08:002006-03-25T00:30:00.000+08:00GMA was "proclaimed elected" after canvassing by C...GMA was "proclaimed elected" after canvassing by Congress with a vote of roughly 39% of total votes cast, which means that about 61% (100% minus 39%) of the electorate during the 2004 elections did not vote for GMA.<BR/><BR/>Since surveys of just a 1,200 universe cannot compare with the exactness of election results (fraud or cheating has to be proven yet), such results ought to be the starting percentage basis to compare with preferences to be taken in surveys later.<BR/><BR/>A reminder: The Philippines claims to be a democratic and republican state, but the Constitution allows the executive to be chosen by less that 50% plus 1 or by a mere plurality (not the majority) as in Gloria's case of just 39%.<BR/><BR/>Certainly, the 61% who opted to vote for the other candidates in 2004 would not mind if GMA quits now--or preferably drops dead.<BR/><BR/>The 65% who now wants her to quit in 2006 is only about 4% over the 61% in 2004 (65% minus 61%) who never wanted her to be President in the first place.<BR/><BR/>Is a difference of just 4%--at 3% margin of error and 95% confidence level at that--significant?<BR/><BR/>Does Pulse Asia really think it is? Or do they think all Filipinos are that dumb--do not know how to add, do not know how to subtract.<BR/><BR/>Surveys are interesting only if they show significant shifts in comparative preferences within a timeline that is relevant (data from election results, for instance), not to mention "intensity of preferences" for or against, if properly assigned the right question to answer.<BR/><BR/>But they are boring if the survey-takers think that all Filipinos can easily be fooled, or propagandized into believing, that their so-called analysis of the results of a survey these spin-weavers spun--which no doubt is altogether insignificant--is proclaimed to be significantdomingoaronghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00996543136309944114noreply@blogger.com